GlobalVue™ September 2020 – Projecting 2021 Recovery

Since 2001, William Edwards has published the EGS GlobalVue™ country ranking analysis quarterly based on recent activities in countries, feedback from the in-country EGS GlobalTeam™ covering 43 countries and a continuous review of 40+ international information sources.

The September 2020 GlobalVue™ chart projects how countries will come out of the COVID-91 crisis in 2021.

A downloadable full version PDF covering 40 countries in the Americas, Asia, Europe, the Middle and Near East can be found at this link:

https://edwardsglobal.com/globalvue/

Key to 2021 economic recovery are the projected 2021 Gross Domestic Product growth, political and economic stability or lack thereof and the projected recovery from the pandemic. Of course, there is a high degree of uncertainty today especially as to the timing of a vaccine and political challenges in key countries.

Here are a few countries that are key to obtaining the OECD 5% GDP growth projection for the world in 2021.

Australia	Mixed pandemic outcome, moderate 2021 growth
Brazil	Challenging pandemic outcome, improving economy
Chile	Mixed pandemic status, economy will grow in 2021
China	Swift virus recovery, dual economy will have different 2021s
Germany	Controlling pandemic, may see 2021 government change
India	Huge pandemic impact, chaotic government response
Italy	Controlling pandemic, steps being taken on economy
Mexico	Poor pandemic response, anti-business government
Peru	Poor pandemic response, elections due soon
Taiwan	Positive virus control, expanding economy, China (?)
Philippines	Negative government pandemic management
South Africa	High unemployment, low new investment, corruption
Spain	Mixed pandemic response, but strong basic economy
Thailand	Pandemic tourism hit limits 2021 economic growth
Turkey	Democracy iffy, economy limping along
United Kingdom	Mixed pandemic management results and BREXIT
Vietnam	Tight virus control, offshoring from China impact

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