EGS Biweekly Global Business Newsletter Issue 59, Tuesday, June 28, 2022
Edited and curated by: William (Bill) Edwards, CFE, CEO of Edwards Global Services, Inc. (EGS)
How interest rate hikes around the world tie to inflation rates. Asia Pacific air travel begins to recover. How the pandemic impacted the rule of law worldwide. Lego’s® to be made once again in the USA. The top wheat, corn and sunflower oil exporters. And breaking down the world’s population by age group.
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First, A Few Words of Wisdom From Others
“Good judgement comes from experience, and experience comes from bad judgement.”, Rita Mae Brown
“Experience is the teacher of all things.”, Julius Caesar
“The only source of knowledge is experience.”, Albert Einstein
Highlights in issue #59:
- Brand Global News Section: Lego’s®, Little Caesar’s®, McDonald’s®, Pizza Hut®, Popeyes®, Wendy’s® and Wingstop®
Interesting Data and Studies
“The pandemic has accelerated a global decline in the rule of law – But it has also brought some needed change to the way justice is administered. Compiled by the World Justice Project (wjp), a Washington-based charity, the Rule of Law index, published annually since 2009 and now covering 140 countries, draws on tens of thousands of responses from households, legal practitioners and experts. It asks about people’s experience of the justice systems in their countries, and produces scores based on factors such as the constraints on government power, corruption, regulatory implementation, order and security, and the enforcement of civil and criminal law.”, The Economist, June 7, 2022
Global Energy & Commodities
“The Global Economy: Commodities Crisis – The war in Ukraine is exacerbating pre- existing problems with global grain supplies and prices. Although higher prices will be felt by all, North African and Middle Eastern countries along the Mediterranean will be more directly and severely affected. Sudden spikes in food prices are directly linked to increased social unrest and conflict. Further, instability in this region could put fertilizer supplies at risk, which would put only more upward pressure on food prices.”, Geopolitical Futures, June 2022
Global Supply Chain, Commodities, Inflation & Trade Update
“2022 Third-Quarter Forecast – During the third quarter of 2022, the combination of high energy and food prices, supply chain bottlenecks, geopolitical uncertainty and the tightening of monetary policy by central banks will slow economic activity in most parts of the world. While the drivers of slowing growth will be similar, the consequences will change from region to region.” Stratfor Worldview, June 27, 2022
“U.S. Port Backups Are Extending Into Freight Rail Supply Chains – The congestion is raising costs and adding complications for importers managing the flow of goods in a fragile U.S. economy.
Some retailers are waiting weeks to move cargo by train out of Southern California’s ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, while others are giving up on the railroads and shifting shipments of furniture, apparel and other consumer goods to trucks for long inland journeys on highways.” Wall Street Journal, June 24, 2022
Global, Regional & Local Travel Updates
“Pent-up demand for travel is becoming un-pent,’ says Andrew Charlton of Aviation Advocacy, a consultancy.
The number of seats available on European airlines in the week commencing June 6th was only 9% below the same week in 2019. In North America it was just 5.6% down, according to oag, another consultancy…..up to September sales for international routes are at 72% of their level in 2019 and those on domestic ones are at 66%, according to iata, an industry body.”, The London Economist, June 9, 2022
“Air New Zealand Relaunches International Routes to Meet Travel Demand – Air New Zealand has announced the recommencement of 14 international routes over a 16-day period in July. According to the New Zealand Herald, the airline will relaunch services from Auckland to destinations such as Tahiti, Honolulu and Houston that have not seen service for just over 800 days.” , Air Geeks, June 24, 2022
Country & Regional Updates
Australia
“Minimum wage increase: Bosses slam Fair Work Commission’s pay boost – On Wednesday morning, the Fair Work Commission announced the national minimum wage would rise by 5.2 per cent to $21.38 per hour or $812.60 per week, representing an increase of $40 per week. Modern award minimum rates will also go up 4.6 per cent “subject to a minimum increase of $40 per week”, and both increases will come into effect from July 1 for most workers.”, News.com.au, June 16, 2022. Compliments of Jason Gehrke, Managing Director, The Franchise Advisory Centre, Brisbane
China
“China’s Record High Youth Unemployment Rate – China’s youth unemployment rate in urban areas in May was the highest since records began in 2018 as Covid-19 lockdowns restricted mobility and weighed on the labor market, with the government warning the situation could get worse as millions of fresh graduates start looking for work. The surveyed urban unemployment rate among workers aged 16 to 24 — which captures graduates from high school and college — climbed to 18.4% in May from 18.2% in April….”, Caixing Global, June 15, 2022
Germany
“Another strike at major German ports as pay negotiations break down again – As the RMT union leads UK rail workers in their second day of walkouts, new industrial action is also under way at German ports. Negotiations in Bremen between German trade union ver.di and the Central Association of German Seaport Companies (ZDS) broke down yesterday. Beginning at 6am, the strikes are affecting the ports of Bremerhaven, Hamburg and Wilhelmshaven – road, rail and sea cargo, Maersk said – and run until 6am tomorrow.”, The Loadstar, June 23, 2022. Compliments of Vince Iacopella, EVP Growth and Strategy, Alba Wheels Up International Inc.
Spain
“Amazon to add 2,000 jobs to its Spanish payroll in 2022 – U.S. online retailer plans to add 2,000 new jobs to its Spanish payroll in 2022, the company’s local unit said on Thursday, a move that will take the total number of employees in Spain to 20,000 by the end of the year. The new hirings include more than 500 jobs within high-demand sectors such as engineering, software development, data science and machine learning….”, Reuters, June 23, 2022
United Kingdom
“Interest rates set to rise to 1.25% as Bank tries to curb inflation – Interest rates will rise today for the fifth time in a row to 1.25 per cent amid calls for Boris Johnson to level with the public about the cost of living crisis. The Bank of England is expected to increase rates by 0.25 percentage points from what was already a 13-year high as it seeks to rein in inflation. The Federal Reserve, America’s central bank, went further yesterday, increasing interest rates by 0.75 percentage points, the sharpest rise since 1994.”, The Times of London, June 15, 2022
United States
“Lego Brings Manufacturing Back To The U.S., 15 Years After Pulling Plug – The Denmark-based toy company, which makes the colorful plastic building blocks that kids have played with for nine decades, said on Wednesday that it plans to invest more than $1 billion in a new manufacturing plant in Virginia. The move will allow it to shorten the distance that its products have to travel to reach the U.S., one of its biggest markets, it said, and thereby avoid the global supply chain chaos that has resulted in major delays and increased costs during the pandemic.”, Forbes, June 15, 2022
Brand News
“This National Pizza Chain Just Announced Plans to Open 1,000 New Locations – In the mood for some pizza? Little Caesars is counting on it and making moves that will ensure every corner of the country has access to their hot-n-ready pies. The majority of Little Caesars franchises currently dominate the New York, New England, and Hawaii markets—but the brand recently expanded internationally in Russia, Spain, Columbia, and Barbados. It’s looking to also open more in Brazil, France, the Philippines, Malaysia, and the United Arab Emirates.”, Eat This, Not That, June 23, 2022
“The former McDonald s opened under the new brand Vkusno and that’s it – Big Mac and McFlurry will disappear from the menu, and prices will be higher. The first 15 restaurants of the former fast food chain McDonald’s opened last weekend under the new brand “Tasty – and that’s it.” By the end of the month, the number of open restaurants will increase to 200. The American corporation, which managed 718 restaurants in 45 regions, sold the Russian business at a significant discount, reserving the opportunity to buy it back within 15 years, the new owner of the chain, Alexander Govor, told Vedomosti in an interview.”, Vemdoosti.ru, June 13, 2022. Compliments of Paul Jones, Jones & Co., Toronto. (English translation available on Google)
“Allegro taps bankers to deliver Pizza Hut exit – Allegro Funds’ turnaround at Pizza Hut Australia looks just about complete, with the private equity firm preparing to hang up the for-sale sign and seek a growth-minded buyer. Six years after taking the reins, and after a lengthy restructure, it is understood Allegro Funds has hired Miles Advisory and had the firm’s dealmakers preparing potential buyers for a confidential auction.”, Australia Financial Review, June 13, 2022. Compliments of Jason Gehrke, Managing Director, The Franchise Advisory Centre, Brisbane
“US Fried-Chicken Chain Popeyes Expands in UK With Six New Sites….where its first location has become the brand’s best-performing restaurant globally since it launched last year. Popeyes, owned by Restaurant Brands International Inc., will roll out sites in Nottingham, Gateshead, Oxford, Reading, Brighton and Ealing. It currently runs delivery kitchens around London and a take-away restaurant in east London’s Stratford, now the best-performing of Popeyes’ 3,600 worldwide. The company also opened a sit-in restaurant in Chelmsford over the weekend.”, BBN Bloomberg, June 13, 2022
“Wendy’s New Zealand up for sale – The New Zealand arm of the well-known Wendy’s hamburger chain is on the market, including all 22 company-owned stores. Wendy’s NZ, the current master franchisee, owner and operator of all Wendy’s hamburger restaurants throughout New Zealand, is on the market for the first time in 34 years.:”, Franchise New Zealand magazine, June 23, 2022
“Wingstop opens its first restaurant in Canada – the company is opening a location this month in Toronto, one of 100 planned for the country as the chicken wing chain pushes international growth more aggressively…..The vast majority of the brand’s 1,800 locations are in the U.S., but a growing number of them are outside the country. Wingstop finished 2021 with just under 200 locations, up by 160% over the past five years, according to Technomic. The brand has found success in Mexico, Europe, Asia Pacific and the Middle East.”, Restaurant Business, June 20, 2022
Articles & Studies For Today And Tomorrow
“Interest Rate Hikes vs. Inflation Rate, by Country – Imagine today’s high inflation like a car speeding down a hill. In order to slow it down, you need to hit the brakes. In this case, the “brakes” are interest rate hikes intended to slow spending. However, some central banks are hitting the brakes faster than others. This graphic uses data from central banks and government websites to show how policy interest rates and inflation rates have changed since the start of the year. It was inspired by a chart created by Macrobond.”, Visual Capitalist, June 24, 2022
“Visualizing the World’s Population by Age Group – An aging population can have far-reaching consequences on a country’s economy. With this in mind, today’s graphic looks at the age composition of the global population in 2020, based on the latest figures from the United Nations. Our global population is getting older, largely because of increasing life expectancies and declining birth rates. In 2020, more than 147 million people around the world were between the ages of 80-99, accounting for 1.9% of the global population.”, United Nations, Pew Research Center, June 16, 2022
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Our Mission, Information Sources & Who We Are
Our biweekly global business update newsletter focuses on what is happening around the world that impacts new trends, health, consumer spending, business investment, economic development and travel. We daily monitor 30+ countries, 40+ international information sources and six business sectors to keep up with what is going on in this ever-changing environment. Our GlobalTeam™ covering 43 countries provides us with updates about what is happening in their specific countries.
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William (Bill) Edwards has a four-decade career successfully accelerating the international growth of more than 40 brands. He has directed projects on-site in Alaska, Asia, Europe and the Middle and Near East and has lived in China, the Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Iran and Turkey. Edwards Global Services, Inc. (EGS) provides a complete International solution for companies Going Global. From initial global market research and country prioritization, to developing new international markets, providing in-country operations support and problem solving around the world. EGS has twice received the U.S. President’s Award for Export Excellence. For advice on doing business successfully across 40+ countries, contact Bill Edwards at bedwards@edwardsglobal.com or +1 949 224 3896.
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