Our GlobalTeam™ of highly experienced international specialists on the ground in 32 countries contributed to the following brief summary of the franchise world opportunities for 1st quarter 2016. Countries to watch for franchise opportunities in 2016: Argentina, the Philippines, the UAE, Spain, Poland and Peru.
Asia | China Japan Malaysia The Philippines Thailand Viet Nam |
Consumer economy growing at 8.2% per year Only large corporations are investing in new projects Political unrest, declining Foreign Direct Investment Many new US F&B brands opening 4% GDP growth expected in 2016 6.5% GDP growth, prefer US franchise brands |
Americas | Argentina Brazil Canada Chile Colombia Mexico Peru USA |
Dramatic change, new positive government Economy is stalled, inflation climbing, political uncertainty Declining investment in F&B, tax focused new government 3.7% GDP growth for 2016. Government regulations? Show me the money and where it came from Mexico City, Monterrey and Cancun booming Lima is a city of cranes and new foreign franchises US$15/hour minimum wage kills margins. Election year |
Europe | Ireland Germany Poland Russia Spain Turkey United Kingdom |
GDP growth of 3.5% projected for 2016 Difficult to find investors/risk takers for new foreign brands 3%+ GDP growth for 2016. Slow new franchise investment Not now 2.7% GDP growth for 2016. Recovery speeding up Political unrest leading to drop in new project investment 2.2% GDP growth, but normal investment analysis paralysis |
Middle East | Egypt Saudi Arabia Dubai |
Pent-up consumer demand, high growth, iffy security Challenges to get new businesses open due to regulations New building push, large expat influx, airport & airline soaring |
Elsewhere | Australia India South Africa |
GDP growth of 2.5% but falling commodity exports. Jobs iffy? Not another country, another universe. But opportunities. Low growth, high unemployment (25%), low new investment |
Our GlobalTeam™ of highly experienced international project managers – on the ground in 32 countries – contributed to the following brief summary of the franchise world opportunities for 4th quarter 2015.
Asia | China Japan Malaysia Mongolia The Philippines Thailand Viet Nam |
Watch the consumer economy not the overall GDP growth. Large corporations are investing in new consumer projects. Ringgit drop of 25% against the US$ plus political unrest. US pizza and coffee franchises flourishing. Seriously. Middle class buying power accelerating. Stable politics. Military dictatorships often are stable. US sailors on shore leave, 6%+ GDP growth. |
Americas | Argentina Brazil Canada Chile Colombia Mexico Peru USA |
You still get paid in soybeans, if at all. Economy is stalled, inflation climbing, corruption rife. Tim Horton’s and Burger King are now one??? New President negative on business. Investment stopped. Show me the money and where it came from. Mexico City, Monterrey and Cancun booming. Lima is a city of cranes and new foreign F&B brands. US$15/hour minimum wage means no margins, less jobs. |
Europe | Ireland Germany Poland Russia Spain Turkey United Kingdom |
GDP growth of 3.5% projected for 2016. Difficult to find investors/risk takers for new foreign brands. 3.5% GDP growth for 2015 is the highest in the EU. Foreign brands with US$ denominated rents are closed GDP growth for 2016 estimated to be 2.6%. Political unrest leading to drop in new project investment. 2.4% GDP growth, but normal investment analysis paralysis. |
Middle East | Egypt Saudi Arabia Dubai |
Pent up consumer demand, high growth but scary security. Challenges to get new businesses open due to regulations. New building push, large expat influx, airport & airline soaring. |
Elsewhere | Australia India South Africa |
GDP growth of 2.6% but falling commodity exports. Jobs iffy? Not another country, another universe. Low growth, high unemployment (25%), low new investment |
For 2015, EGS’ U.S. clients are seeking licensees in over 20 countries. Our GlobalTeam™ of highly experienced international project managers on the ground in 35 countries contributed to the following brief summary of the world mid-2015:
Asia | China Japan Malaysia Mongolia The Philippines Thailand Viet Nam |
Citizens: you didn’t really lose money in the Shanghai market. Large corporations are investing in new consumer projects. Prime Minister didn’t really put US$1B in his bank account. U.S. pizza and coffee franchises flourishing. Seriously. Subic Bay is operating again, U.S. Embassy doubling in size. Stable politics. Military dictatorships often are stable. U.S. sailors on shore leave, 6%+ GDP growth. |
Americas | Argentina Brazil Canada Chile Colombia Mexico Peru USA |
You still get paid in soybeans, if at all. Economy is stalled, inflation climbing, corruption rife. Tim Horton’s and Burger King are now one??? New President negative on business. Investment stopped. Still ‘show me the money and where it came from.’ Mexico City, Monterrey and Cancun booming. Lima is a city of cranes and new foreign F&B brands. US$15/hour minimum wage means no margins, less jobs. |
Europe | Ireland Germany Poland Russia Spain Turkey United Kingdom |
GDP growth of 3% in 2015, high for the EU. Difficult to find investors/risk takers for new foreign brands. 3.4% GDP growth for 2015 is the highest in the EU. Foreign brands with US$ denominated rents are closed GDP growth for 2015 of 2.9%. Major 2016 comeback. Finally realized they should shoot at ISIS. 2.4% GDP growth, but normal investment analysis paralysis. |
Middle East | Egypt Saudi Arabia UAE |
Pent-up consumer demand, scary security and future. Challenges to get new businesses open due to regulations. New building push, large expat influx, airport & airline soaring. |
Elsewhere | Australia India South Africa |
Economy soaring but tied to commodity exports. Jobs iffy? Not another country, another universe. Low growth, high unemployment (26%), low new investment |
Updated: July 27, 2015
In 2014, EGS’ US franchisor clients are very busy finding licensees in over 25 countries. Our GlobalTeam™ of highly experienced international development project managers contributed to the following brief summary of the franchising environment around the world.
Asia | China | Food quality stinks; new F&B franchises shrink |
Japan | New, large scale US F&B investment | |
Malaysia | Government barriers for foreign franchises | |
The Philippines | New professional companies seeking US brands | |
Thailand | What coup? New franchise investment by major groups | |
Viet Nam | Just bring coffee brands | |
Americas | Argentina | You get paid in soybeans |
Brazil | 95% local franchisors, government barriers to entry | |
Canada | True regional development beginning | |
Chile | Perfect market, except for the lack of people | |
Colombia | Show me the money and where it came from | |
Mexico | Selected areas booming | |
Peru | GDP/capita growth and resulting investment wonderful | |
USA | Franchise model in the birthplace of franchising in peril | |
Europe | Czech Republic | Small market, but a perfect European brand showplace |
Ireland | Investors not quite back to investing | |
Germany | English not spoken and ‘We already have it’ | |
Poland | Good franchise growth outside Warsaw | |
Russia | Really? Now? | |
Spain | Fast recovery, many investors seeking brands | |
Turkey | US F&B booming, despite tin pot ruler | |
United Kingdom | Analysis paralysis. Build a pilot first, then investors | |
Middle East | Egypt | Next year, really… |
Saudi Arabia | New F&B brands entering. Permits to open units??? | |
UAE | Abu Dhabi and ‘More fast food, please’ | |
Others | Australia | 90%+ local, locals like local brands |
India | Separate universe | |
New Zealand | The opposite of Australia, but few consumers | |
Nigeria | Really??? | |
Pakistan | Not Karachi | |
South Africa | 90%+ local franchises to date, but a change is coming |