For 2015, EGS’ U.S. clients are seeking licensees in over 20 countries. Our GlobalTeam™ of highly experienced international project managers on the ground in 35 countries contributed to the following brief summary of the world mid-2015:
| Asia | China Japan Malaysia Mongolia The Philippines Thailand Viet Nam |
Citizens: you didn’t really lose money in the Shanghai market. Large corporations are investing in new consumer projects. Prime Minister didn’t really put US$1B in his bank account. U.S. pizza and coffee franchises flourishing. Seriously. Subic Bay is operating again, U.S. Embassy doubling in size. Stable politics. Military dictatorships often are stable. U.S. sailors on shore leave, 6%+ GDP growth. |
| Americas | Argentina Brazil Canada Chile Colombia Mexico Peru USA |
You still get paid in soybeans, if at all. Economy is stalled, inflation climbing, corruption rife. Tim Horton’s and Burger King are now one??? New President negative on business. Investment stopped. Still ‘show me the money and where it came from.’ Mexico City, Monterrey and Cancun booming. Lima is a city of cranes and new foreign F&B brands. US$15/hour minimum wage means no margins, less jobs. |
| Europe | Ireland Germany Poland Russia Spain Turkey United Kingdom |
GDP growth of 3% in 2015, high for the EU. Difficult to find investors/risk takers for new foreign brands. 3.4% GDP growth for 2015 is the highest in the EU. Foreign brands with US$ denominated rents are closed GDP growth for 2015 of 2.9%. Major 2016 comeback. Finally realized they should shoot at ISIS. 2.4% GDP growth, but normal investment analysis paralysis. |
| Middle East | Egypt Saudi Arabia UAE |
Pent-up consumer demand, scary security and future. Challenges to get new businesses open due to regulations. New building push, large expat influx, airport & airline soaring. |
| Elsewhere | Australia India South Africa |
Economy soaring but tied to commodity exports. Jobs iffy? Not another country, another universe. Low growth, high unemployment (26%), low new investment |
Updated: July 27, 2015
For 2015 EGS’ US franchisor clients are seeking licensees in over 20 countries. Our GlobalTeam™ of highly experienced international development project managers contributed to the following brief summary of the franchising environment around the world for the New Year:
| Asia | China Japan Malaysia Mongolia The Philippines Thailand Viet Nam |
F&B franchises iffy, as is the investment climate Carl’s Jr. signed a 150 restaurant license New mall developers are seeking US franchises Pizza and coffee franchises – now 2 each! A focus on more US F&B brands Overall stable politics, but economy is iffy F&B franchises desired |
| Americas | Argentina Brazil Canada Chile Colombia Mexico Peru USA |
You still get paid in soybeans Economy is stalled, new investment stopped for now Tim Horton’s and Burger King are now one (???) New President seems negative on business Still ‘show me the money and where it came from’ Mexico City, Monterrey and Cancun booming A focus on more US F&B brands Franchise model with individual owners remains in peril |
| Europe | Czech Republic Ireland Germany Poland Russia Spain Turkey United Kingdom |
Prague has a high GDP/capita, other large cities lower GDP growth of 3% in 2015 is high for the EU Difficult to find investors for new foreign brands 3.3% GDP growth for 2015 is the highest in the EU Foreign F&B brands have US$ denominated rents GDP growth for 2015 of 1.7% is high for large EU countries US F&B investment and high-end malls growing Build a pilot first, then investors come |
| Middle East Egypt | Saudi Arabia UAE |
Interest in new franchise unit investment for 2015 Challenges to get new businesses open due to regulations New trend of neighborhood malls in Dubai |
| Elsewhere | Australia India New Zealand Nigeria Pakistan South Africa |
90%+ local franchises, difficult to get foreign brand investors New government equals a very positive business attitude Few consumers, but pro foreign franchise brands Foreign franchises have numerous operating challenges Not now for foreign brands 90%+ local franchises, but hope for foreign brands |
In 2014, EGS’ US franchisor clients are very busy finding licensees in over 25 countries. Our GlobalTeam™ of highly experienced international development project managers contributed to the following brief summary of the franchising environment around the world.
| Asia | China | Food quality stinks; new F&B franchises shrink |
| Japan | New, large scale US F&B investment | |
| Malaysia | Government barriers for foreign franchises | |
| The Philippines | New professional companies seeking US brands | |
| Thailand | What coup? New franchise investment by major groups | |
| Viet Nam | Just bring coffee brands | |
| Americas | Argentina | You get paid in soybeans |
| Brazil | 95% local franchisors, government barriers to entry | |
| Canada | True regional development beginning | |
| Chile | Perfect market, except for the lack of people | |
| Colombia | Show me the money and where it came from | |
| Mexico | Selected areas booming | |
| Peru | GDP/capita growth and resulting investment wonderful | |
| USA | Franchise model in the birthplace of franchising in peril | |
| Europe | Czech Republic | Small market, but a perfect European brand showplace |
| Ireland | Investors not quite back to investing | |
| Germany | English not spoken and ‘We already have it’ | |
| Poland | Good franchise growth outside Warsaw | |
| Russia | Really? Now? | |
| Spain | Fast recovery, many investors seeking brands | |
| Turkey | US F&B booming, despite tin pot ruler | |
| United Kingdom | Analysis paralysis. Build a pilot first, then investors | |
| Middle East | Egypt | Next year, really… |
| Saudi Arabia | New F&B brands entering. Permits to open units??? | |
| UAE | Abu Dhabi and ‘More fast food, please’ | |
| Others | Australia | 90%+ local, locals like local brands |
| India | Separate universe | |
| New Zealand | The opposite of Australia, but few consumers | |
| Nigeria | Really??? | |
| Pakistan | Not Karachi | |
| South Africa | 90%+ local franchises to date, but a change is coming |
According to an International Franchise Association (IFA) early 2014 survey of its franchisor members, 82% now think that taking their franchise international is important to the future success of their franchise. Five years ago, 54% thought going international was important.
Based on 25 years of international franchise experience as a franchisor, master franchisee and, most recently helping over 20 US franchisors go international, I know the most difficult task is finding the right country and the right licensee for your particular franchise.
One solution for US franchises can be working with the U.S. Commercial Service (USCS), the international-focused arm of the U.S. Department of Commerce. The USCS has experts on the ground in over 100 countries whose job is to help US companies sell their products and services.
There are several ways the USCS can help a franchisor go global:
But this is not magic where you get on the airplane, land in the new country, meet your new licensee, sign an agreement, get back on the plane for home, and the new licensee sends you the initial license fee. To have a chance at success using the USCS team in any particular country, the franchisor must know and clearly communicate the following:
And the franchisor needs to clearly define what they want in an international licensee or master franchisee in a country, such as:
Our company, EGS, has successfully worked with the USCS in over 20 countries around the world since 2001. Here are a few of the successes we have had in recent years working with the USCS:
Not all USCS posts in all countries are able to help find area licensees and master franchisees. To find out whether the local office has a specialist for franchising, go to the following website for specific countries: www.export.gov/country
Or you can contact Ms. Jennifer Loffredo, the U.S. Commercial Service Officer based in the US who manages the USCS Global Franchise Team: (248)452-2254, Jennifer.Loffredo@trade.gov
A close working relationship with the USCS people on the ground in the country, plus patience in finding and signing the right licensee for your specific franchise, are critical to success in using this valuable resource for US franchisors. At the end of the day, you have to help the USCS post help you find your licensee in a country.
In April 2005, New York Times columnist Tom Friedman published the iconic book on globalization, “The World Is Flat: A Brief History of the Twenty-First Century”.
The title eludes to the perceptual shift required for countries, companies, and individuals in order to remain competitive in a global market where historical and geographical divisions are becoming increasingly irrelevant.
Per Wikipedia, “Friedman himself is a strong advocate of these changes, calling himself a ‘free-trader’ and a ‘compassionate flatist’, and he criticizes societies that resist these changes. In his opinion, this flattening is a product of a convergence of personal computers with fiber-optic micro cable with the rise of work flow software.”
Many readers, including this author, initially interpreted this as saying that the world is increasingly the same, diversity is going away. A re-reading of Mr. Friedman’s book, and subsequent writings, shows this is not exactly correct. He is proposing that the business world is adopting the same standards worldwide in order to compete with companies in other countries. A strong case can be made for this postulation.
Along comes culture. Dictionary.com defines culture as: “The quality in a person or society that arises from a concern for what is regarded as excellent in arts, letters, manners, scholarly pursuits, etc.; development or improvement of the mind by education or training; and the behaviors and beliefs characteristic of a particular social, ethnic, or age group.”
Businessculture.org says, “Culture illustrates the accepted norms and values and traditional behaviour of a group . . . ‘the way we do things around here.’ The culture of each country has its own beliefs, values and activities. In other words, culture can be defined as an evolving set of collective beliefs, values and attitudes.”
In my experience working in 68 countries over the past 42 years, culture is alive and prospering. In order to do business in other countries, you must be aware of the local culture and how it impacts business to be successful. Flatness is not as important as the culture with which you are dealing. In other words, you must be aware of the diversity in doing business that the local culture represents to be successful in today’s global business environment.
Robert Shaw, a highly experienced and successful global franchise executive based in Orange County, California, has studied the knowledge of local culture as a way to win in business. Mr. Shaw defines three major cultural types that you have to take into account to win in global business:
The aggressive ‘let’s get the deal done and go home’ that US business people often follow leaves no time to develop the relationships that most cultures value and require in order to get business done.
And here are a few cultural “no-no’s” to remember that Mr. Shaw and I have encountered over the years:
Terri Morrison, in her classic book, “Kiss, Bow and Shake Hands”, shares a few basic but critical cultural differences in doing business in key countries. In regards to meetings:
The bottom line? While business processes may be flattening, cultures are not. To succeed in global business you have to add the cultural factor to your approach to people and companies in other cultures. Ignore the ‘non-flat’ local way of doing business because you think similar business processes are all that counts in a country and you will fail.
Cultures are what make the world an increasingly interesting place!
To enter a country, a franchisor has to find a licensee, secure trademarks, sign an international license agreement, train the new licensee, travel to their country and provide on-going support in order for the licensee to start-up and grow properly to produce royalties. Therefore, the biggest challenge a franchisor has in taking their brand global is choosing the right countries that will give them the best Return On Investment (ROI).
Some of the most important parameters the franchisor needs to know are: (1) the size of the consumer market that can afford their product or service in a country; (2) the legal environment and whether it will allow them to maintain control of their brand if a problem occurs; (3) how easy is it for a foreign company/brand to enter a country and what barriers to entry exist; (4) how easy is it to open a new business in a country keeping in mind that franchises are usually new business; and (5) what is the political and economic stability – or instability – of a country.
EGS has been evaluating and ranking countries as places to franchise on a quarterly basis since the founding of our company in 2001. We developed a tool for this – GlobalVue™. The latest issue – 2nd quarter 2014 – can be downloaded at the following link: http://edwardsglobal.com/index.php/globalvue/
EGS uses more than 25 information sources to establish and monitor these key parameters. Plus, EGS has associates under contract in 32 countries that keep us up to date on their countries. This is not a one-time evaluation, but a constant research project.
Things can change quickly in a country, taking it from being open to foreign brands and lots of local company investment to a downward market where new entries will fail. And economic parameters in a country can also begin to change for the better, which makes for opportunity for those franchises who are monitoring the world consistently.
Market size for your franchised products or services is key. Lots of people in a country does not automatically make for lots of consumers who can afford to buy your franchised products or services. Take Indonesia with a population of 240 million and a strong desire for US franchises. The consumer base for most US franchises is the middle and upper class, which is about 20% of this number. Still a significant potential market!
A few years ago the World Bank studied the occurrence of new investment by companies in a country. This is a very important parameter for franchisors because we need new investment happening to find licensees who will invest in our brands. The World Bank found that countries with annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 4% or more are seeing new investment. 2-4% growth was ‘okay’. Less than 2% annual growth resulted in little new business creation. This makes sense and should be considered by franchisors looking at new countries to enter. If businesses are investing then we generally find consumers are also spending. This, or course, results in sales at businesses and royalties for franchisors.
Three years ago, Ireland was near the top of countries to franchise into. Today, unfortunately, their GDP growth rate is near zero and they are trying to recover from almost 20% unemployment. But Ireland is very receptive to US franchises and will come back in the future. So, it is important to keep up with global trends in order to focus your annual marketing on the countries most likely to give you a good ROI.
Another big challenge is how corrupt a country is because this directly impacts your licensee’s ability to do business and make a profit. And US companies are held responsible for how their licensees do business in their country under the U.S.’s Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977.
Here are links for information on particular parameters mentioned in this blog posting.
(1) Political and economic stability can be research through these free online resources:
(2) The ease of starting a new business in a country is usually tied to the economic freedom to open a new business in a country.
www.freetheworld.com/release.html
www.heritage.org/index
www.fraserinstitute.org/programs-initiatives/economic-freedom.aspx
(3) Legal concerns are important to evaluate so you will know how easy or difficult it is to franchise in a country and whether you can protect your brand in the case of a problem.
www.franchise.org/IndustrySecondary.aspx?id=45874
(4) Corruption in a country impacts the ability of a business (franchise) to succeed. One of the best sources of information on country corruption can be found at the Transparency International website and on their Corruption Perception Index that measures more than 50 local parameters.
www.cpi.transparency.org/cpi2013/